Pancreatic Cancer Survival Rate

What is the survival rate for pancreatic cancer?

Cancer survival rates are usually discussed in terms of 5-year relative survival, which refers to the proportion of patients still alive five years after diagnosis. Keep in mind that statistics like these are based on large groups of people and cannot predict what might happen with an individual patient.

In the United States, national data shows that 9.3% of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer are alive after five years. Pancreatic cancer survival remains poor due to a number of factors, some of which include the lack of a reliable screening test for the general population and a high number of people with late-stage disease at diagnosis.

In addition, survival differs dramatically depending on the type of pancreatic cancer. For example, survival for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors is significantly better than pancreatic ductal adenosarcoma. Recent treatment advances have led to increased survival when all treatment options — including clinical trials — are properly considered.

Pancreatic cancer survival at Roswell Park

At Roswell Park, we compare our survival data with data collected nationally by the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program. The graphs below compare survival rates of pancreas cancer patients treated at Roswell Park with the survival rates for pancreas cancer patients across the nation.

AJCC Stage Group, Pancreatic Cancer

Stage at diagnosis for CY 2014-2015

This pie chart illustrates how many patients with pancreatic cancer have advanced disease at the time of diagnosis.1

Five-Year Relative Survival, Pancreatic Cancer, Stages I-IV

Cases Diagnosed 2006-2013

The following graph illustrates the survival rates of patients with pancreatic cancer at Roswell Park, compared to the survival rates nationwide. Roswell Park patients, at every stage of disease, have better survival rates.2

Relative Survival compares the actual observed survival with the expected survival of persons unaffected by cancer.

Roswell Park 5-Year Relative Survival (2006-2013) for Pancreatic Cancer
  Source 1 2 3 4 5
N=77 Roswell Park Stage I 70% 51% 46% 42% 42%
N=210 Roswell Park Stage II 69% 43% 29% 25% 25%
N=118 Roswell Park Stage III 44% 15% 9% 4% 4%
N=411 Roswell Park Stage IV 23% 9% 6% 6% 5%

1American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) Stage I-IV Pancreatic Cancer

2Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program ( SEER*Stat Database: Incidence - SEER 18 Regs Research Data + Hurricane Katrina Impacted Louisiana Cases Nov 2015 Sub (1973-2013 varying) - Linked To County Attributes - Total U.S., 1969-2014 Counties, National Cancer Institute, DCCPS, Surveillance Research Program, Surveillance Systems Branch, released April 2016, based on the November 2015 submission. Accessed February 8, 2017